Zum einen ist dort ein sogenanntes Black Swan pattern vorhanden, welches in der technischen Analyse für eine Trendumkehr steht. Die Zielbestimmung dieses  Harmonischen Musters geschied typischerweise in zwei abträgen.

How the Magnificent 7 and tech companies are transforming the old economy In the current phase of digital transformation, we are seeing a significant redistribution of capital in the global economy. My recent cartoon (source of course ChatGPT) illustrates how the so-called "Magnificent 7" - a group of leading tech companies - and other players in the tech industry are siphoning off massive amounts of money from traditional old economy companies. This dynamic is further intensified by the increasing importance of artificial intelligence (AI) and other innovative technologies. The old economy, consisting of traditional industries such as automotive, mechanical engineering and consumer goods, is being forced to invest huge sums in digitalization and the integration of AI technologies. This need for transformation is unavoidable in order to remain competitive in the modern, technology-driven world. The tech giants play a central role in this by providing not only technological solutions, but also the necessary expertise and infrastructure. So at the moment, company profits are moving in line with share prices, so no bubble yet, or what do you think? There is also good research from Goldman Sachs that underpins this development once again with figures.

The end of the trading week was a big expiry day, and some shorts apparently had to be covered all week. Individual stocks, especially from the technology sector, showed strong price volatility. This was also evident on the last trading day with an upward fuse. On the other hand, some institutional investors apparently only extended their short positions, as the index fell again towards the end. I assume that there will be a few more openings of short positions next week, which could lead to a fall to the 10-week line. That would be about a 4% correction, the secondary correction scenario would be a maximum 10% correction of the index.The dynamics and above all the volume after the first trading days of the "Magnificent 7" will be relevant for me, but at present this correction is no reason for me to reduce my investment quota with a focus on technology. I will simply continue to review my positions and make sure that my shares do not produce any price gaps and do not become too volatile.The Nasdaq100 also shows this picture, and the divergence between price development and market breadth (A/D indicator) mentioned last week is, to my astonishment, diminishing in such a way that the market breadth is rising again and not the market falling. Also, despite all-time highs, greed is very low and I expect a brief dip into fear territory, which is a buy signal for me on the CNN fear and greed indicator.

Bitcoin and the altcoins continue to be nervous and volatile. For me, this is a clear sign that cryptocurrencies have not yet bottomed out and that we are likely to experience a major shake-out. Because with every week that sees no upward breakout, the often inexperienced investors become more nervous, and the big market players want to take advantage of this to take shares away from the "weak hands" before the next upward impulse. I remain fully invested and am preparing myself psychologically for this event, it wouldn't be the first time.Hashtag#BitcoinHashtag#cryptocurrenciesHashtag#cryptoHashtag#BTCHashtag#portfoliomanagementHashtag#altcoinsHashtag#coachingStrategic fundamental opinion on cryptocurrencies as a speculative asset:https://lnkd.in/daskXYkX

Edit: Update 21:14 Europe / Berlin time

I would like to explain the whole thing using a classic example in the DAX, but it can also be applied to crypto, commodities and forex. A little later in the article, we will explain the most common candles and what you can do with them. The classic DAX has a daily trading time of 9 am to 5:30 pm, which means that the daily candle starts at 9 am and ends at 5:30 pm. As you will see in the article, it is possible to interpret possible price movements based on the different appearances of the closed candle. Beginners in particular are often unaware that there is both pre-market and post-market trading. Advanced traders, on the other hand, often do not know that the candle image can also depend on the broker's server time (time zone) if they themselves trade from a different time zone. Trading interruptions, as in the Nikkei225, can also distort the chart.

The S&P500 and the Nasdaq100 have both broken out to new all-time highs on high volumes. While the S&P 500 has a small correction potential up to around 5,200 points and only then is the path upwards towards 5,766 points clear, the Nasdaq100 has a direct path towards 20,963 points. Last week's 50:50 scenario has resolved itself in a positive sense. The Nasdaq100 has continued to build up high relative strength against the S&P500 and the DAX.So much for the positives. The fact that this upswing stands on rather "feet of clay" is shown by the continuing sharp decline in market breadth. This rise is therefore being driven primarily by the major U.S. technology stocks, while many others are rather weak. Not a good basis for a solid rise. Due to this divergence, strict adherence to the risk thresholds is called for. Such a divergence can last longer and it seems that many institutional investors are too negative about the market and are therefore underinvested. In addition, there is a fundamentally positive cyclicality due to the U.S. election year.So my primary scenario is positive, but I am ready to go into risk management mode at any time. The "CNN Fear and Greed Index" is still in the low range, which shows that despite the all-time high, few trust this rise. That is why I remain invested exclusively in relatively strong stocks that are not prone to major fluctuations and may expand here.Hashtag#TradingHashtag#SP500Hashtag#Nasdaq100Hashtag#ChartanalysisHashtag#FearAndGreedIndexHashtag#Wealthmanagement

As expected last week, Bitcoin continues to move in its triangle. My scenario remains that it will once again touch the 60,000 U.S. dollar mark, as nothing is going up at the moment. However, this is no reason to empty my crypto portfolio, as the upward scenario is clearly intact and the transaction costs for trades are high. That's why I'm staying calm and reviewing my invested cryptocurrencies when the breakout comes. I will then select the coins with the best momentum when the breakout occurs.

What's up guys! Following up with Bitcoin today! We've ditched into the "resistance level" at around $72k multiple times now. To be honest, I don't like "support/resistance level", I always associate them with retail trading, which isn't really my style since I use other parameters to define my bias/levels/patterns etc. 

Today I decided to do a tricky analysis. Why is this analysis/stock a tricky one, you may ask? It's very simple, I deem a drop in almost all the major indices as very likely and I don't like trading against the trend. Of course there are always exceptions to the rule, but historically speaking, in times of economic decline the vast majority of all stocks drop in price.

If you followed my last stock trading idea, you'll know that I mentioned higher prices on Broadcast.com. As of today, we reached the second Gap I mentioned in the post, and it seems like the stock will continue expanding to the upside. In cases like this, it depends on whether price closes in or outside a Gap/pricelevel. I'll go into detail in a later educational post, just know this: If it closes outside that Gap, it's likely to expand further to the upside, if not, lower prices can be expected.