China

Pessimism around Chinese stocks is high. Naturally, I’m not a fan of a capitalist stock market within a communist system, especially considering how Russian ADRs became nearly worthless for regular investors. I see similar risks with Chinese stocks, particularly in the event of conflicts between China and the U.S. in the Pacific. That's why I will limit my exposure to Chinese stocks to 10% of my portfolio.

Chinaimage
China

Bitcoin

Last week, it was just a hint, but this week the downtrend has been broken, and the year-end rally seems ready to take off. If this upward move continues next week and Bitcoin sustainably breaks the 70,000 US dollar level, I believe the path to the psychological milestone of 100,000 US dollars is clear. If this happens, I will increase my cryptocurrency investments to 100% and also start considering stocks related to cryptocurrencies for my investment strategy.

Bitcoinimage
Bitcoin

S&P 500, Nasdaq100, and Russell 2000

The U.S. election will take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and the S&P 500 clearly seems determined to reach the 6,000 mark before the election. From my perspective, the election outcome is less important than the process of declaring a winner. The market dislikes uncertainty, and the depth of any post-election correction will depend on how quickly a winner is confirmed. Trump currently leads in the polls, and his campaign promises suggest he would likely continue driving the markets, given his plan to spend roughly four times as much as Harris.

S&P 500, Nasdaq100, and Russell 2000image
S&P 500, Nasdaq100, and Russell 2000

BTC Trigger Situation

Die Situation wird sich vermutlich an der Signallinie des untergeordneten Wolfes entscheiden.Prallen wir untergeordnet ab, so ist mit einem zügigen anstieg bis zum Rebound 127 (gelb) zu rechnen. Kommen wir durch die Signalinie durch, so ist mit einem Rücksetzer nach der grauen ABCD Projektion auszugehen. More read here

BTC Trigger Situationimage
BTC Trigger Situation

ADA Update: 18.10.2024

Short Term and Longer Term Target hit (+8-12% depending on FVG or OB followed by up to +17% for run down to the stops.

ADA Update: 18.10.2024image
ADA Update: 18.10.2024

Ultimate guide on Williams Fractals in crypto trading

In today’s article, we’ll explore one of the most powerful yet often overlooked tools in cryptocurrency trading: fractals. While top crypto traders tend to use fractal levels to identify support and resistance points for trading bounces and breakouts, there’s a more effective way to harness this tool. Hint: the true power lies in breakout trading, not just in support and resistance. In fact, many traders even incorporate fractals into their algorithmic trading bots. We recall using fractals to identify support and resistance when we built our first automated crypto trading bot—and unsurprisingly, it wasn’t among the most successful strategies.

Ultimate guide on Williams Fractals in crypto tradingimage
Ultimate guide on Williams Fractals in crypto trading

BTC Update

Aufgrund der drei Hochs besteht die Möglichkeit eines neuen Intra Musters. übergeordnet ist weiterhin das Gelbe Muster relevant. Die mögliche Korrektur über das graue Wolfsmaul könnte den Rücklauf 13er gelb bedienen. 

BTC Updateimage
BTC Update