OB Reaction Odds

OB Reaction Odds shows 15M / 30M / 1H / 4H order blocks together with statistics on how price has historically treated them (Bybit BTCUSDT 5m, Oct 2022 – Nov 2026, about 10,000 first touches).

Designed for the 5m chart and also works on 15m (for 30m / 1h / 4h use OB Reaction Odds HTF).

Order blocks follow the classic swing rule: a 5-bar pivot, then the last opposite candle before the swing break. Each OB stays active for 3 days or until its first touch.

Coloured bands inside each OB show how deep price usually went before reacting: • strongest colour – 0-50% of the OB height (half of all reactions turned here) • medium – 50-75% • faint – 75-90% On narrow OBs the bands can extend past the far edge, because wicks often overshoot.

• Reaction = a move of 1 ATR(1H) away from the near edge before a 5m candle closes beyond the far edge (12-hour window). • Wide OBs react most often (53-66% depending on timeframe, vs 34-40% for narrow 15M / 30M OBs). • Thicker frame = yesterday's VAH and POC lie inside the OB. This was the only setup that clearly beat a randomly shifted level: wide OBs with VAH+POC reacted 65% of the time vs 44% for the control. • Dashed frame = near-miss: price stopped within 0.1 ATR of the OB before the first touch. A later touch reacted about 7 points less often. • Grey OB = broken. An optional short label shows reaction / break odds and the current status (touched, reacted, broken and how far price ran).

Settings: OB timeframes, number of OBs shown (max 8), Bull / Bear tags, short labels, and how long to keep finished OBs.

Statistics describe the past and are not trading signals.