This indicator measures the real-time strength and direction of three configurable Hurst cycles. It combines detrended price oscillators, RMS amplitude columns, zero-cross signal markers, and an optional confluence background into one comprehensive cycle dashboard. At a glance, you can see which cycle is dominant, which direction each cycle is heading, and when cycles are turning.
Part of the MTC Hurst Cycle Analysis Suite.
1. OSCILLATOR LINES (Cyan / Yellow / Orange) Detrended price as a percentage of the centered moving average. Above zero = cycle in rising phase. Below zero = cycle in falling phase. This is Hurst's "Inverse Moving Average" — it shows the pure cycle component after removing the trend.
2. STRENGTH COLUMNS (semi-transparent colored bars) RMS (Root Mean Square) amplitude measured over one full cycle period. The tallest column reveals which cycle is currently the most dominant — swinging with the most energy. Rising columns = cycle gaining power. Falling columns = cycle fading.
3. ZERO-CROSS MARKERS (green/red circles on the zero line) Green circles below = oscillator just crossed above zero (cycle turning bullish). Red circles above = oscillator just crossed below zero (cycle turning bearish). The circle size indicates the cycle length — larger circles represent longer, more significant cycles. A large green circle (80-bar cycle turning up) carries much more weight than a small one (20-bar).
4. CONFLUENCE BACKGROUND (optional, off by default) Enable in settings to see green background when ALL three cycles are above zero simultaneously (maximum bullish alignment) or red background when ALL three are below zero (maximum bearish pressure). When active, this instantly highlights the highest-conviction zones.
A live status box in the top-right corner always shows: • Which cycle is currently dominant (highest RMS amplitude) • The amplitude percentage • UP or DN direction for each of the three cycles
Example: "DOMINANT: 40-bar (2.8%) — 20:UP | 40:UP | 80:DN" This tells you the 40-bar cycle is most active, short and medium cycles are rising, but the long cycle is falling — so the upward move may be limited by the larger cycle pressure.
Best Long Setup:
Best Short Setup:
Large red circle appears (long cycle just turned down)
All three oscillator lines below zero • Dominant cycle is the longest
Optional: Red confluence background visible
Caution / Wait:
Detrended Price: DT = (Close - DisplacedSMA) / DisplacedSMA x 100%
The DisplacedSMA centers a Simple Moving Average on the price by shifting it back by half the cycle length. Subtracting it from price isolates the cycle component — this is what Hurst called the "Inverse Moving Average."
RMS Amplitude:
A = sqrt( sum(DT squared over one cycle) / cycle_length )
RMS measures the average magnitude of oscillation regardless of direction. High RMS = strong cycle swings. Low RMS = dormant cycle. The cycle with the highest RMS is the one currently driving price the most.
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